Thursday, June 5, 2025

How Canada Could Be Affected by Section 899

 



🇨🇦 How Canada Could Be Affected by Section 899 and U.S. Economic Shifts

1. Canadian Pension Funds and Investors May Be Taxed

  • Canada Pension Plan (CPP) and other large investors (like Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan) invest billions in U.S. markets.
  • If Section 899 goes into effect, dividends or interest they earn from U.S. stocks and bonds could face new U.S. taxes up to 20%, where they used to be exempt or taxed minimally.
  • This could reduce pension returns — hurting seniors and future retirees in Canada.

2. Higher Costs for Canadian Consumers

  • If the U.S. dollar weakens and interest rates rise:
    • Imports from the U.S. become more expensive
    • Canadian businesses that rely on U.S. goods or components will pass on the cost
    • Food, gas, electronics, and medical supplies could all see price spikes

3. Market Instability and a Weaker Loonie

  • If global investors lose faith in the U.S., financial markets could get rocky.
  • The Canadian dollar (CAD) often suffers when global investors retreat from North America.
  • A weaker loonie = more expensive imports and travel, especially from the U.S.

4. Strained U.S.–Canada Relations

  • Canada and the U.S. have a long-standing tax treaty to avoid double taxation and promote fair trade.
  • Section 899 violates that treaty and sets a dangerous precedent.
  • It signals that even allies can be targeted if they don't align politically — chilling diplomacy and trade cooperation.

5. Retaliation or Policy Shifts from Ottawa

  • Canada could respond with countermeasures or seek deeper economic ties with Europe or Asia.
  • But in the short term, Canadian workers, businesses, and families could feel the pinch, especially in sectors tied to cross-border investment.

💬 Bottom Line

Canada has long depended on a stable, cooperative relationship with the U.S. — economically and diplomatically. If that trust is broken by policies like Section 899, the ripple effects could be severe — from our pensions to our prices at the pump.


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