Showing posts with label evacuate. Show all posts
Showing posts with label evacuate. Show all posts

Thursday, October 6, 2016

Hurricane Matthew 10/06/16 Be Prepared!!

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/prepare/ready.php
http://people.com/pets/how-to-keep-your-pet-safe-during-a-hurricane/



Here's a blogpost I did a while back, what we can learn from Hurricane Katrina
https://tinawinterlik.blogspot.ca/2015/08/what-can-we-learn-from-hurricane-katrina.html



I don't know if this is helpful, I am in Canada but I am sharing to be as helpful as I can.




https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/hurricane-matthew-bahamas-florida-georgia-carolinas-forecast










http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
https://www.facebook.com/NWSNHC
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/index_hls4+shtml/062221.shtml?

000
WTNT34 KNHC 062051
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
500 PM EDT THU OCT 06 2016

...EYE OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE MATTHEW ABOUT TO HIT
FREEPORT IN THE BAHAMAS...
...POTENTIALLY DISASTROUS IMPACTS FOR FLORIDA...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.2N 78.6W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SSE OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM ESE OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...938 MB...27.70 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
 CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Hurricane Warning has been extended northward to South Santee River, South Carolina.

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued from north of South Santee River to Surf City, North Carolina.

The Government of the Bahamas has discontinued the Hurricane Warning for the Central Bahamas.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Northwestern Bahamas, including the Abacos, Andros Island, Berry
Islands, Bimini, Eleuthera, Grand Bahama Island, and New Providence
* North of Golden Beach to South Santee River
* Lake Okeechobee
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Chokoloskee to Golden Beach
* Florida Keys from Seven Mile Bridge eastward
* Florida Bay
* Anclote River to Suwannee River
* North of South Santee River to Surf City

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* North of Chokoloskee to Anclote River
Interests elsewhere in the Florida Peninsula, the Florida Keys, and in the Carolinas should monitor the progress of Matthew.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm- force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Matthew was located near latitude 26.2 North, longitude 78.6 West. The hurricane is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue tonight with a turn toward the north-northwest early Friday. On the forecast track, the eye of Matthew should move near or over Freeport in the Bahamas in the next hour or so, and move close to or over the east coast of the Florida peninsula through Friday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 140 mph (220 km/h) with higher gusts. Matthew is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely while the hurricane moves toward the coast of Florida.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). Settlement Point in the Bahamas, recently reported a sustained wind of 54 mph (87 km/h) with a gust of 62 mph (100 km/hr).

The minimum central pressure reported by a NOAA Hurricane Hunter plane was 938 mb (27.70 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions will continue over portions of the northwestern Bahamas this evening.

Hurricane conditions are expected to first reach the hurricane warning area in Florida this evening and will spread northward within the warning area through Friday. Tropical storm conditions will continue to spread northward in the warning area along the Florida east coast tonight and Friday.

Hurricane conditions are expected to spread northward in the warning area in Georgia and South Carolina Friday night and Saturday with tropical storm conditions expected on Friday.

Winds increase rapidly in elevation in a tropical cyclone. Residents in high-rise buildings should be aware that the winds at the top of a 30-story building will be, on average, about one Saffir-Simpson category higher than the winds near the surface.

Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area in the Carolinas on Friday night and Saturday.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and large and destructive waves could raise water levels by as much as the following amounts above normal tide levels...

Northwestern Bahamas...10 to 15 feet

The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Sebastian Inlet, Florida, to Edisto Beach, South Carolina, including portions of the St. Johns River...7 to 11 ft
Edisto Beach to South Santee River, South Carolina...4 to 6 ft
Deerfield Beach to Sebastian Inlet, Florida...4 to 6 ft
South Santee River, South Carolina, to Cape Fear, North Carolina...2 to 4 ft
Virginia Key to Deerfield Beach, Florida...1 to 3 ft

Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. Large waves generated by Matthew will cause water rises to occur well in advance of and well away from the track of the center.

The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. There is a danger of life- threatening inundation during the next 36 hours along the Florida east coast, the Georgia coast, and the South Carolina coast from Deerfield Beach, Florida, to South Santee River, South Carolina. There is the possibility of life-threatening inundation during the next 48 hours from north of South Santee River, South Carolina, to Cape Fear, North Carolina. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the Prototype National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.

The Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic is a depiction of areas that would qualify for inclusion under a storm surge watch or warning currently under development by the National Weather Service and planned for operational use in 2017. The Prototype Graphic is available at hurricanes.gov.

RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall amounts in the following areas:

The central and northern Bahamas...8 to 12 inches, isolated 15 inches
Coastal eastern Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, and southeast North Carolina....5 to 10 inches, isolated 12 inches

Rainfall should diminish across central and eastern Cuba with isolated additional amounts of 1 to 2 inches possible through this evening.

TORNADOES: An isolated tornado or two is possible along the east-central Florida coast tonight.

SURF: Swells generated by Matthew will continue to affect portions of the north coast of Cuba and the Bahamas during the next few days, and will spread northward along the east coast of Florida and the southeast U.S. coast through the weekend. These swells will likely cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.
$$
Forecaster Avila

Friday, October 23, 2015

Pray for Mexico TODAY! #CLIMATEJUSTICE NOW

As a huge hurricane barrels towards Mexico I beg for you to act on #CLIMATEJUSTICE

The world must take action or we will see more of these hurricanes and typhoons. I am praying for all the brave people of Mexico and others who live there and visit that they can endure what will be placed on them today and in the days to come! I pray for their safety. I am sending them love and light. Please join me to watch angels and all the positive powers that be help them..

Justin Trudeau- PLEASE TAKE ACTION ON #CLIMATEJUSTICE IMMEDIATELY. Before there are more storms/hurricanes like this. 

#PrayForMexico


PLEASE URGE ALL RESIDENTS AND GUEST TO EVACUATE!! DON'T LET WHAT HAPPENED IN KATRINA HAPPEN THERE.  http://tinawinterlik.blogspot.ca/2015/08/what-can-we-learn-from-hurricane-katrina.html

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/23/us-mexico-storm-patricia-idUSKCN0SH16720151023

"Patricia has potential to cause massive death and destruction over a large swath of the Mexican Pacific coast, including the tourist hot spots of Puerto Vallarta and Acapulco." http://www.cnn.com/2015/10/23/americas/hurricane-patricia/



National Hurricane Centre- WARNING
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPEP5+shtml/231144.shtml

 

Hurricane PATRICIA Public Advisory


Home   Public Adv   Fcst Adv   Discussion   Wind Probs   Graphics   Archive  

000
WTPZ35 KNHC 231448
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE PATRICIA ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202015
1000 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2015

...POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE PATRICIA MOVING NORTHWARD
TOWARD LANDFALL IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.6N 105.5W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 195 MI...310 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...200 MPH...325 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...880 MB...25.99 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for the
coast of Mexico north of San Blas to El Roblito.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* San Blas to Punta San Telmo

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas
* North of San Blas to El Roblito

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within about 24
hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Patricia was
located near latitude 17.6 North, longitude 105.5 West. Patricia is
now moving toward the north near 10 mph (17 km/h).  A turn toward
the north-northeast and a faster forward motion are expected later
today, with this motion continuing tonight and Saturday.  On the
forecast track, the center of Patricia should cross the coast in
the hurricane warning area late this afternoon or early this
evening.  After landfall, the center of Patricia is expected to move
quickly north-northeastward across western and northern Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 200 mph (325 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Patricia is a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Some fluctuations in intensity are possible
today, but Patricia is expected to remain an extremely dangerous
category 5 hurricane through landfall.  After landfall, Patricia is
forecast to rapidly weaken over the mountains of Mexico.  A NOAA
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate Patricia
before landfall.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 880 mb (25.99 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Hurricane conditions should reach the hurricane warning area
during the next several hours, with the worst conditions likely this
afternoon and this evening.  Tropical storm conditions are now
spreading across portions of the warning area. Preparations to
protect life and property should be rushed to completion.  Hurricane
conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area today.

RAINFALL:  Patricia is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 8 to 12 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20
inches, over the Mexican states of Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima,
Michoacan and Guerrero through Saturday.  These rains could produce
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

STORM SURGE:  An extremely dangerous storm surge is expected to
produce significant coastal flooding near and to the right of where
the center makes landfall.  Near the coast, the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.

SURF:  Swells generated by Patricia are already affecting portions
of the southern coast of Mexico, and will spread northwestward
during the next day or so.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven




 http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2015/10/23/hurricane-patricia-strongest-ever-measured/74446334/


http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2015/10/23/hurricane-patricia-strongest-ever-measured/74446334/